GFW PARTNERSHIP MEETINGWASHINGTON, DC | FEBRUARY 8TH & 9TH

PHOTO: CIFOR #GFWPartners17

#GFWPartners17 Presenters: Eric Dinerstein, Stuart Butchart, Neil Burgess, Samantha Hill, Andy Purvis

PARALLEL DISCUSSIONS 1:FORESTS AND BIODIVERSITY

BIODIVERSITY

GFW B: A vision for more

proactive conservation

of forest-dependent biodiversity

Case studies: habitat assessments for tigers and apes

The First Ever Global Summit for an Endangered Species in St. Petersburg, Russia, November 2010

Tracking changes and preventing loss in critical tiger habitat

Tiger Conservation Landscapes

Tracking changes and preventing loss in critical ape habitat

Jan 18 2017

Forest loss in ape

habitat, Gunung

Leuser National

Park, Sumatra,

Indonesia

2003 - 2014

2003 2004 2005

2007 2008 2009

2010 2012 2014

Nature Needs Half…but which half?

(Dinerstein et al. in press by March 2017 Bioscience)

A Vision for Global Forest Watch – Year One

GLAD alert filtering Integrate Range wide assessments into operational programs

PREDICTS BII and Range Rarity to offer a Global Map (a continuous layer)

Impact of forest change on

biodiversity intactness

PREDICTS BII and Hotspots of Range Rarity to offer a Global Map (a continuous layer)

A Vision for Global Forest Watch Years 5-10

Laser-guided Imaging Spectroscopy

Google Earth is an Ecological Lieby Omission

CurrentProtected Area Network

Making Plans to SaveMore Biodiversity

Mapping forest biodiversity signficance

Stuart Butchart, BirdLife International

Manages the World Database on Key Biodiversity Areas – information on 15,000 of the most important sites for nature on the planet

Manages the IUCN Red List– information on the extinction risk of 80,000 species

Manages the World Database on Protected Areas– information on 200,000 protected areas

Developed the PREDICTS model- Based on a global database of terrestrial species' responses to human pressures

Developed work on revised ecoregions and their protection status, & landscape priorities for charismatic species (tiger and apes)

Global Forest Watch Biodiversity

Why integrate tree cover & loss with other biodiversity datasets?

Reassessed the status of 11,000 forest-dependent vertebrates

Quantified threats to the largest biodiversity site network in the world

www.biodiversitymapping.org based on BirdLife International and NatureServe 2016

Richness of species with small distributions

Each cell scored for its aggregate contribution to the distributions of all species occurring in the cell

Buchanan et al 2011 PloS ONE 6(12): e29080

Biodiversity importance of remaining forest (2012)

Biodiversity importance of remaining forest (2012)

Biodiversity importance of lost forest (2000-2012)

Biodiversity importance of lost forest (2000-2012)

Methods• Bird, mammal and amphibian forest species ranges from BirdLife & IUCN

• Refined ranges by altitudinal limits

• Calculated areas of tree cover in each species range for 2000 and 2012

• Weighted each range as inverse of area of tree cover

• Summed weighted species ranges to create importance layers for 2000 and 2012

• Mapped remaining tree cover in 2012 using importance layer for 2012

• Mapped tree cover loss 2000-2012 using importance layer for 2000

• In future, add other taxonomic groups (e.g. reptiles, conifers, cycads, rattans,

gingers, monarchs and swallowtails by 2020)

What does it tell you?• Which areas of forest loss represent the most significant losses of forest biodiversity

(in terms of their aggregate contributions to species distributions)

• Which areas of remaining forest are the most significant for biodiversity (in terms of

their contributions to species distributions)

How might it be used?• Filtering GLAD alerts

• Informing land-use planning decisions

• Prioritising protected area expansion

• Targeting investments in forest conservation

• Screening potential business operations

Mapping how forest change impacts

biodiversity

Neil Burgess, Samantha Hill, Andy Purvis

Phot

o by

Nei

l Pal

mer

(CIA

T)

#PredictsProject

Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing

Terrestrial Systems: the PREDICTS project

MethodologyGlobal Forest ChangeForest loss

Forest gain

Forest cover 2000

Forest cover 2010

Pressure maps

Other pressuresHuman population density

Proximity to roads

PREDICTSmodel

Map of forest change impact on

biodiversity

CSIRO downscaled land use map

Where has forest

been lost?Where has

forest been

gained?

Where forest has been lost,

what is the land being used for?

Other pressures that

influence biodiversity?

Patterns of loss and

gain

Database has 767 studies, 32,078 sites, 98 countries, > 300 ecoregions

Database described in Hudson, Newbold et al. 2014 Ecol & Evol

Database is publically accessible: data.nhm.ac.uk

Taxonomic coverage of 51,000 species

Measuring site-level biodiversity

CroplandPrimary vegetation

5 species richness 4

Measuring site-level biodiversity

CroplandPrimary vegetation

15 abundance 14

Measuring site-level biodiversity

CroplandPrimary vegetation

15 abundance of original species 6

Biodiversity Intactness

Newbold et al. 2016 Science 353(6296)

Results

Results

Results

Results

Results

Biodiversity intactness

Short-term goals:

Refine modelsRefine mapsExtend to global area

Biodiversity Intactness

What does it tell you?• How native species assemblages are impacted by:

• forest change (including regeneration) • the use of cleared areas of forest (i.e. is the area used for

agriculture, urbanisation etc.)• other human pressures (e.g. the introduction of roads)

• Where we can find areas of: intact biodiversity, recovery, and dramatic degradation

How might it be used?• Gathering statistics (at regional to national levels) on progress

towards retaining biodiversity*• Advise land-use planners and businesses on:

• the consequences of development to biodiversity• where development would be most harmful to biodiversity

• Advise protected-area planners on hotspots of intactness• Filtering GLAD alerts

* for instance, the BII was already used as an indicator in the 2016 UK State of Nature Report

Long-term goals:

Temporal BIIFragmentationExtend databaseAnnual updates

Biodiversity intactness

2001 2012

20122001 Temporal Biodiversity Intactness

Long-term goals:

Temporal BIIFragmentationExtend databaseAnnual updates

Biodiversity intactness

2001 2012

In the future… Biodiversity Intactness as an interactive tool?

Prioritizing Deforestation Alerts in the GFW Platform for Rapid Reaction Responses in Areas of High Conservation Importance in Tropical Forests

Eric Dinerstein, Neil Burgess, and Anup JoshiOn Behalf of the Global Forest Watch Biodiversity Working Group

• Slide from Carolyn on GLAD alerts from Peru

GLAD Alerts

□ Ecoregions & Landscapes

Intact Forests

Carbon Density

Imperiled Ecoregions

□ Species and Sites □ User Defined Chest of Drawers

PREDICTS

KBAs

IUCN maps of range rarity

Option 1. Filtering GLAD Alerts by Ecoregions and Landscapes

Potapov et al. 2017

© Bernardo Roca-Rey Ross

Two conservation targets:Intact forest landscapes and fragments holding the last remaining population of a critically endangered species (AZE)

Option 2. The Sites or Hotspots of Rarity Approach (a continuous layer)

Impact of forest change on

biodiversity intactness

Option 2. The Sites or Hotspots of Rarity Approach (a continuous layer)

Option 3. The User Defined Approach (chest of drawers)

Monarch breeding and overwintering

sites

Key Biodiversity Areas

Tiger Conservation Landscapes

More layers can be addedKnown breeding and non-breeding sites of threatened migratory birds or butterflies

Alliance For Zero Extinction Sites

Important Bird Areas

Key Biodiversity Areas

Protected Areas (IUCN I-VI)

Tiger Conservation Landscapes

Priority Ape PolygonsProtected Areas with 10km buffer for

African and Asiatic elephant populations in forested habitat

And prioritized by the end userKnown breeding and non-

breeding sites of threatened migratory birds or butterflies

Alliance For Zero Extinction Sites

Important Bird Areas

Key Biodiversity Areas

Protected Areas (IUCN I-VI)

Tiger Conservation Landscapes

Priority Ape Polygons

Forested PAs + 10km buffer for African and Asiatic elephants

Peru

GLAD alerts for all KBAs

in Peru

Glad alerts for all

forested PAs in Tiger

Conservation Landscapes in SumatraSumatra

PHOTO: Jeffrey Rolinc (Flickr)

• Who could use these data? How do we reach them?• What can these data be used to accomplish?• What will be the main challenges we will face?• Other than a map, how can we display data so it is best understood? How do we best

communicate these data and insights?• In an ideal world, what would GFWB look like in one year? Five years? Ten years?