Foresight in Public AgenciesThree Case Studies

Jake Dunagan (@dunagan23)Director, Governance Futures Lab, IFTF

Managing Director, verynice futures

SOCIETY IS A SOCIAL INVENTION, AND YOU ARE SOCIAL INVENTORS.

— JIM DATOR

Trends

Wild Cards

Disruptions/ Emerging Issues

Three Lenses on the Future

Connected Citizens

Case 1

ContextContext• Technology (ICT) changing government service• Public engagement platform• Arab Spring? • Leadership role for UAE

Process

CA Administrative Office of the Courts: Building a Judicial Network

Case 2

Context• Technological disruption to court business

• Failed Implementation of Case Management System• Massive budget cuts

• Shrinking public trust and confidence in the courts

THE FUTURE DOESN’T COUNT, BECAUSE THE FUTURE DOESN’T VOTE

Jim Dator:

Process

• Environmental scanning/trends research• Workshops with experts• Interviews with major stakeholders

Outcomes

• Report: Building a Judicial Network• Videos: Seven vignettes• Presentation to Court Technology

Committee• NO REAL CHANGE

UCSF 2.0

Case 3

Context• Campus-wide and extended community discussion• Generating new ideas through an inclusive process• Setting a new vision for the university

Process: Foresight Engine

Questions?