Financial Forecasting

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Transcript of Financial Forecasting

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

What is Financial Forecasting?

Financial forecasting is looking ahead to develop a financial plan for the future

Very important for the strategic growth of a firm

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

2 Methods of Financial Forecasting:

– Using Pro Forma, or Projected, Financial Statements (more exact, time consuming)

– Percent-of-Sales Method (less precise, easier to calculate)

Often times these statements are required

by lenders

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

3 Financial Statements for Forecasting

Pro Forma Income Statement (I/S) Cash Budget Pro Forma Balance Sheet (B/S)

The first step is to develop a sales projection

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Steps in a Pro Forma Income Statement (I/S)

Establish a sales projection Determine a production schedule (or production

requirements) Compute other expenses Determine profit by completing an actual pro forma

income statement (I/S)

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Determining Production Requirements

Projected Units Sales PLUS

Desired Ending Inventory (EI) MINUS

Beginning Inventory (BI) EQUALS

Production Requirements

(or Units to be Produced)

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Percent-of-Sales Method

A short-cut, less exact, easier method of determining financing needs (The “quick and dirty” approach)

Assumes that B/S accounts will maintain a constant percentage relationship to sales

Assets / Current Sales = % of Sales