Post on 03-Jan-2016
description
the institute for employment studies
Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets
Nick Jagger
Objectives
Establish a 2008 baseline for FE colleges using emandate
Construct a reasonable 1999 baselineEstablish the requirements to achieve
differing levels of carbon reductionAdvise on elements of a carbon strategy
for the sectorAdvise on additional data collection
needed to monitor progress
Current CO2 Emissions by Source
Natural Gas 32.4%
Oil 4.1%
LPG 0.7%
Solid Fosil fuels 0.6%
Communal Non-electical Energy 0.7%Electricity 61.6%
Backcasting Assumptions
Scope 1 emissions largely driven by heat demand and in turn driven by age of building stock
Scope 2 emissions, from electricity, more variable●influenced by learner numbers●efficiency and number of electrical
appliances●carbon content of grid electricity
Backcasting Emissions
0100200300400500600700800900
1000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Scope 1 Scope 2
Base Forecasting Assumptions
Scope 1 emissions continues to be driven by refurbishment and new build
Scope 2, electrical, emissions driven: ●by learner numbers, driven in turn by
demographics●increased electrical efficiency●grid decarbonisation
Baseline Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity efficiency
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Baseline Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity efficiency
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Baseline Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity efficiency
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Baseline Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity efficiency
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Baseline Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity efficiency
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Further Options
Renewable/low carbon heat: ●solar thermal●biomass CHP●gas powered CHP●Anaerobic digester CHP
Renewable/low carbon electricity:●gains from CHP●wind and solar
Central Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity from CHP
Electricity efficiency
Renewable heat
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Central Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity from CHP
Electricity efficiency
Renewable heat
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Central Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity from CHP
Electricity efficiency
Renewable heat
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Central Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity from CHP
Electricity efficiency
Renewable heat
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Central Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity from CHP
Electricity efficiency
Renewable heat
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Central Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity from CHP
Electricity efficiency
Renewable heat
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Central Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Grid decarbonistion
Electricity from CHP
Electricity efficiency
Renewable heat
New build & refurb
Residual Scope 2
Residual Scope 1
Reporting Options
Use eMandate to report energy usage and other emissions to be consistent with CRC and DECC requirements:●Scope 1: Gas, Oil, LPG, Coal, Biomass,
Vehicle fuels●Scope 2: Grid electricity●Scope 3: Mains Water, Waste to Landfill,
Waste to Recycling
… thank you
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