Esri’s US Demographics: What’s NewKyle Reese Cassal & Lucy Guerra

Lucy Guerra

lguerra@esri.com

Product Manager, Esri Demographics

Kyle Cassal

kreesecassal@esri.com

Chief Demographer, Esri US Demographics

Agenda

Introduction to Esri Data

Demographic Trends

What’s New

Population Growth

Aging Society

Diversity

Housing Trends

Quality data for quality analysis

Esri’s Authoritative Data

Basemaps & Imagery

People Preferences Places

Environment

137countries

Population

Households

Purchasing Power

Age

Income

Marital Status

Education

Gender

Food

Tobacco

Clothing

Household

Medical

Electronics

Recreation

Esri US Demographics

• Developed by Esri

• Updated Annually

• Demographics

• Spending

• Tapestry Segmentation

• Daytime Population

• Market Potential

• Business

Census

&

ACS

Business Analyst

Community Analyst

ArcGIS Online

ArcGIS Pro

Maps for Office

Insights

etc…

Developers

Business Analyst

Community Analyst

ArcGIS Online

ArcGIS Pro

Maps for Office

Insights

etc…

Developers

Ready-to-use Maps

Ready-to-use Maps

Demographic Trends

Components of Change

Population Growth

* Esri Updated Demographics & US Census Bureau intercensal estimates

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics

* Esri Vintage 2019 Time Series

* Esri Vintage 2019 Time Series

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics

* National Center for Health Statistics

* National Center for Health Statistics

* Esri 2019/24 Updated Demographics

* Esri 2019/24 Updated Demographics

* National Center for Health Statistics

* Esri 2019/24 Updated Demographics

* National Center for Health Statistics

* Census Bureau PEP

* Census Bureau PEP

* Census Bureau PEP

New tools and measures

Aging Society

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics & Decennial Census

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics

* Census 2010 Sf1

* Esri 2019/24 Updated Demographics

* Esri 2019/24 Updated Demographics

Age Dependency Ratio (ADR) = Child Population (0 - 17) + Senior Population (65+)

Working-age Population (18 - 64)

Child Dependency Ratio (CDR) = Child Population (0 - 17)

Working-age Population (18 - 64)

Senior Dependency Ratio (SDR) = Senior Population (65+)

Working-age Population (18 - 64)

Age Dependency Ratios

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics

* Current Population Survey

Population by Race and Ethnicity

Diversity

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics & Census PEP

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics & Census PEP

* Census PEP

* Census PEP

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics

The Cycle

Housing Trends

* Census Bureau

* Census Bureau

* Census Bureau / HUD

* Census Bureau / HUD

* Census Bureau

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics

* Esri 2019/2024 Updated Demographics

Esri US Demographics

What’s New

Esri’s Annual Updates for the United States

Age by Sex (by Race)

Race & Hispanic Origin

Industry and Occupation

Educational Attainment

Marital Status

Daytime Population

Income (by Age)

Disposable Income (by Age)

Net Worth (by Age)

Home Value

Tapestry Segmentation

Consumer Spending

Market Potential

Current-Year Estimates

2019

Esri’s Annual Updates for the United States

Five-Year Forecasts

2024

Age by Sex (by Race)

Race & Hispanic Origin

Industry and Occupation

Educational Attainment

Marital Status

Daytime Population

Income (by Age)

Disposable Income (by Age)

Net Worth (by Age)

Home Value

Tapestry Segmentation

Consumer Spending

Market Potential

What’s New

Historical

Time Series

Total PopulationZIP Code 18346 Pocono Summit, PA

1,449

2,521

2,522 2,536

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2017 2018

Historical Time Series of US Demographics

Historical Time Series of US Demographics

2,519 2,519 2,521

2,5132,509

2,512

2,520 2,521

2,536

2,571

Total PopulationZIP Code 18346 Pocono Summit, PA

Population

Households

Housing Units

Compare values within a single time series

2010 2010 2010

2011 2011

2012 2012

2013 2013

2014 2014

2015 2015

2016 2016

2017 2017

2018 2018

2019 2019

2020

Esri 2018 Vintage Updates Esri 2019 Vintage Time Series Esri 2020 Vintage Time Series

Do not compare values across time series

2010 2010 2010

2011 2011

2012 2012

2013 2013

2014 2014

2015 2015

2016 2016

2017 2017

2018 2018

2019 2019

2020

Esri 2018 Vintage Updates Esri 2019 Vintage Time Series Esri 2020 Vintage Time Series

Consumer

Spending

Projections

Consumer Spending

734 products and services

• Current year - 2019

• Five year forecast - 2024

- New Report: Retail Demand Outlook

Retail Demand

Socioeconomic

Indicators

Socioeconomic Indicators

Wealth Housing Affordability % Income for Mortgage

Measuring Wealth

Expanded Households with Net Worth

Number of Households with Net Worth

<$15,000$15,000-$34,999$35,000-$49,999$50,000-$74,999$75,000-$99,999$100,000-$149,999$150,000-$249,999$250,000-$499,999$500,000-$999,999$1,000,000-$1,499,999$1,500,000-$1,999,999$2,000,000+

Number of Households by Householder Age & Net Worth<$15,000$15,000-$34,999$35,000-$49,999$50,000-$74,999$75,000-$99,999$100,000-$149,999$150,000-$249,999$250,000-$499,999$500,000-$999,999$1,000,000+

Wealth Index

Below Average < 100 < Above Average

Life-stage &

Dependency

Ratios

Additional Topics

Class of Worker

Universe: Civilian employed population 16 years and over

Male

Private for-profit wage and salary workers:

Employee of private company workers

Self-employed in own incorporated business workers

Private not-for-profit wage and salary workers

Local government workers

State government workers

Federal government workers

Self-employed in own not incorporated business workers

Unpaid family workers

Female

Private for-profit wage and salary workers:

Employee of private company workers

Self-employed in own incorporated business workers

Private not-for-profit wage and salary workers

Local government workers

State government workers

Federal government workers

Self-employed in own not incorporated business workers

Unpaid family workers

Report: ACS Population Summary

Table: Class of Worker

Class of Worker

Number of Earners

Universe: Families

Total:

No earners

1 earner

2 earners

3 or more earners

Table: Income by Household Size and Earners

Number of Earners

Mapping Only

Not available at block group level.

Electronics and Internet

Universe: Population in Households

Under 18 years

Has a computer

No computer

18 to 64 years

Has a computer

No computer

65 years and over

Has a computer

No computer

Table: Computers and Internet Subscriptions

Computers & Internet

Subscriptions

Universe: Households

With an Internet subscription

Dial-up alone

Broadband such as cable, fiber optic, or DSL

Satellite Internet service

Other service

Internet access without a subscription

No Internet accessMapping Only

Not available at block group level.

Geography

Changes

Geography Information

2018 Feature Count & Version 2019 Feature Count & Version

2010 Census Geographies

Block Group (BG) 217,195 (TIGER 2016) 217,209 (TIGER 2018)

Tract (TR) 72,752 (TIGER 2016) 72,758 (TIGER 2018)

County (CY) 3,142 (TIGER 2016) 3,142 (TIGER 2018)

State (ST) 51 (TIGER 2016) 51 (TIGER 2016)

United States (US) 1 (TIGER 2016) 1 (TIGER 2016)

Census Correspondence

County Subdivisions (CS) 35,610 (TIGER 2010*) 35,610 (TIGER 2010)

Places (PL) 29,296 (TIGER 2014) 29,320 (TIGER 2018)

CBSA (CB) 933 (Aug 2017) 934 (Apr 2018)

DMA (DM) 210 (2017-2018 The Nielsen Company) 210 (2018-2019 The Nielsen Company)

Congressional Districts (CD) 436 (115th Congress) 436 (116th Congress)

Postal Geographies

Residential ZIP Codes (ZP) 32,196 (HERE Q3 2017) 32,413 (HERE Q3 2018)

All ZIP Codes (Residential + Non-

Residential)41,460 41,469

QuestionsLucy Guerra

lguerra@esri.com

Product Manager, Esri Demographics

Kyle Cassal

kreesecassal@esri.com

Chief Demographer, Esri US Demographics

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