Post on 18-Jan-2018
description
E. Sanchez, J.A. López, E. Rodríguez (erodriguezc@aemet.es)
AEMET, Madrid, Spain
Contribution of AEMET to EUPORIAS
Country presence:
• Headquarters in Madrid. Territorial Delegations in each Autonomous Community
• 11 Forecasting and Monitoring Groups and one National Forecasting Centre.
• Izaña Atmospheric Observatory in the Canary Islands.
Resources:
• Personnel: Staff of over 1,400, • Annual budget: approx.100 M€
Research in climate related areas:
• Climate modelling and evaluation• Generation of downscaled climate change scenarios• Downscaling algorithms• Analysis of series• Seasonal forecasting: support to oper. activities DS + Combination• Analysis of extremes• Climate variability
http://www.aemet.es
Contribution to EUPORIAS• WP12 Assessment of users' needs
Expert interviews with key water, forest fires and tourism stakeholders [1 pm]
• WP32 Uncertainty framework Assessment and combination of climate predictions using a Bayesian approach [20 pm]
• WP33 Communicating levels of confidence Review of existing approaches [2 pm]
• WP42 Climate services prototypes Assessment of usefulness and limitations of the prototypes [4 pm]
RPSS (Ranked Probability Skill Score, Epstein 1969) Lead time 1