Decision Support ToolsInforming Decision-Making in Marine Spatial

Planning Processes

November 9, 2011

Parametrix

Aquatera

Parametrix

Oregon State University

Robust Decisions

Aquatera

Point Absorber Offshore Wave Energy Device Suitability

Wave Energy Potential Grid Connection

Site Quality

Energy Model

Site Model

Distances to:

Wave energy data

Utility network

Substation

Depth Distance to shore Services port distance

Deep water port distance Substrate

BASS

OWET Cumulative

Effects Function Models

+Bayesian

Networks to Track

Uncertainty+

Accord Based Value

Modeling

Data&

Model

Bayesian Belief Networks

Substrate Depth

None1m1m_5m5m

25.025.025.025.0

Anchoring Suitability

ExcellentAcceptablePossibleNot Acceptable

5.3611.68.9374.1

Water Depth

0m_30m30m_40m40m_50m50m_75m75m_100m100m_200m200m

14.314.314.314.314.314.314.3

Port Size

Deep DraftMedium DraftShallow Draft

33.333.333.3

Distance to Port

5NM5NM_10NM10NM_15NM15NM_20NM20NM_25NM25NM_30NM30NM_50NM50NM

12.512.512.512.512.512.512.512.5

Energy Potential

HighMediumLow

33.333.333.3

Distance to Shore

1NM1NM_3NM3NM_4NM4NM_5NM5NM_10NM10NM_15NM15NM_20NM20NM_25NM25NM

11.111.111.111.111.111.111.111.111.1

Substrate Type

Sand_or_MudGravelBedrockAll other

25.025.025.025.0

Device Suitability

ExcellentAcceptablePossibleNot Acceptable

0.537.3510.981.2

Port Access

ExcellentAcceptablePossibleNot Acceptable

16.737.529.216.7

Anchoring Uncertainty

HiMedLow

33.333.333.3

Composite Anchoring

ExcellentAcceptablePossibleNot Acceptable

8.0213.218.260.6

BASS

Accord

Accord + GIS Viewers

Bayesian Networks

Accord

Analyze device suitability: Science based including uncertainty

Display results for review

Develop measuring criteria

Decision is Made

Collect Stakeholder values

Collect Stakeholder Experiential info related to Scio-economic, environmental and other qualitative measures including uncertainty

Fuse results

BASS Structure

OnePreferred

site option

Alternative sites

Identify need for more information, refinements and change

ScientistsDevelopersAgenciesOther Stakeholders

No single raindrop believes it is to blame for the flood