Post on 02-Aug-2020
Coronavirus Guidance Webinar27th April, 2020
The webinar will be starting shortly
Decompression
Agenda
• CBI Update
• New Membership Director – Jason Hemingway
• CLC Update
• Simon Rawlinson, Arcadis
• Q&A
Simon RawlinsonPartnerHead of Strategic Research and Insight at Arcadis UK
BESA WEBINARIMPACT OF COVID19
Simon Rawlinson – Partner Arcadis
April 2020
27 April 20205
Implications for construction
Economic impacts
Implications for construction prices
Exit scenarios
© Arcadis 2019
Implications of Covid19 for construction
27 April 2020 7
• Importance of cashflow through a fragmented supply chain
• High proportion of SMEs in the supply chain
• High proportion of self-employed labour
• Disproportional dependence on EU labour in the London market
• Challenges around assuring a safe working environment
© Arcadis 2019
Implications of Covid19 for construction
• Potential for 70% reduction in activity in 2nd
Quarter 2020
• Many sites closed as a result of Social Distancing requirements
• Variable loss in productivity on sites operated under Site Operating Procedures
• Public sector active in supporting the sector
• Need for retrospective and forward-looking clarity on contracts and risk transfer
27 April 2020 8
© Arcadis 2019
The OBR reference case
27 April 2020 9
2008 crash triggered:14% fall in output in 1 year20% fall in prices to trough
9 year output trough
© Arcadis 2019
The OBR reference case
27 April 2020 10
2008 crash triggered:14% fall in output in 1 year20% fall in prices to trough
9 year output trough
© Arcadis 2019 27 April 2020 11
Arcadis recovery scenarios
© Arcadis 2019 27 April 2020 12
Risky balance of inflation and deflation
© Arcadis 2019 27 April 2020 13
Arcadis forecast
BESA WEBINARIMPACT OF COVID19
Simon Rawlinson
e:simon.rawlinson@arcadis.com
27 April 202014
Q&A
If we don’t get to your question –please email them to covid19@thebesa.com
Webinar Programme
We want your questions via video!Record landscape.
Email them to covid19@thebesa.com
or WhatsApp to 07976 898129
Tuesday 28th – Maintenance and FM during the pandemic – expert panel & SFG20Wednesday 29th – Supply Chain - Frank Elkins, COO Travis PerkinsThursday 30th – Paul Scully MP, Parliamentary Under Secretary of State (Minister for Small Business, Consumers and Labour Markets)Friday 1st May - Crisis Communications during #COVID19 – how to stay alive and thrive during the pandemic – Su Butcher
What topics do you want us to cover? Email to Covid19@theBESA.com
SUPPORT FROM BESA
www.thebesa.com/covid19• Access lots of guidance• Latest news• Slides and recording available on the website• Daily webinar – forward programme and signup• Facebook page for furloughed workers • New Lockdown learning
covid19@thebesa.com• Email to send queries to• If you want to join the WhatsApp group email us your mobile