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Climate change and the impacts of extreme events on Australia’s Wet Tropics biodiversity

Justin Welbergen, Jessica Meade, Collin Storlie, Jeremy VanDerWal, Anastasia Dalziell, Lauren Hodgson, Johan Larson,

Andrew Krockenberger and Steve Williams

Final Report

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© JCU National Library of Australia Cataloguing-in-Publication entry: 978-1-925088-59-5 This report should be cited as: Welbergen J. A., Meade, J., Storlie, C., VanDerWal, J., Dalziell, A. H., Hodgson, L., Larson, J., Krockenberger, A. & Williams, S. E. (2015) Climate change and the impacts of extreme events on Australia’s Wet Tropics biodiversity. Report to the National Environmental Research Program. Reef and Rainforest Research Centre Limited, Cairns (71 pp.). Published by the Reef and Rainforest Research Centre on behalf of the Australian Government’s National Environmental Research Program (NERP) Tropical Ecosystems (TE) Hub. The Tropical Ecosystems Hub is part of the Australian Government’s Commonwealth National Environmental Research Program. The NERP TE Hub is administered in North Queensland by the Reef and Rainforest Research Centre Limited (RRRC). The NERP Tropical Ecosystem Hub addresses issues of concern for the management, conservation and sustainable use of the World Heritage listed Great Barrier Reef (GBR) and its catchments, tropical rainforests including the Wet Tropics World Heritage Area (WTWHA), and the terrestrial and marine assets underpinning resilient communities in the Torres Strait, through the generation and transfer of world-class research and shared knowledge. This publication is copyright. The Copyright Act 1968 permits fair dealing for study, research, information or educational purposes subject to inclusion of a sufficient acknowledgement of the source. The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Australian Government or the Minister for the Environment. While reasonable effort has been made to ensure that the contents of this publication are factually correct, the Commonwealth does not accept responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the contents, and shall not be liable for any loss or damage that may be occasioned directly or indirectly through the use of, or reliance on, the contents of this publication. Cover image: Justin Welbergen This report is available for download from the NERP Tropical Ecosystems Hub website: http://www.nerptropical.edu.au/research January 2015

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Vegetation specialisation Niche marginality Local abundance

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'Resilience index' from Isaac et al (2009)

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F=62.9, df = 1,158, P < 0.001

R-Sq(adjusted) = 0.28

Y = 0.1261 + 0.01972*X

Regression line:

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