Post on 23-Jan-2016
Climate and Energy in a Complex Transition Process towards Sustainable Hyderabad
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies by Changing Institutions,Governance Structures, Lifestyles and Consumption Patterns
Project in the Funding Programme of the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF): “Research for the Sustainable
Development of the Megacities of Tomorrow”
International Consortium lead by Humboldt University Berlin
Definition of the problem• Emerging megacity of “Greater Hyderabad”, will
reach 10.5 million inhabitants by 2015• Modernization and urbanization as well as
consumption and lifestyle changes have led to growth in commercial energy use and increasing per capita greenhouse gas emissions
• Hyderabad is predicted vulnerable to climate change in terms of food production, water management, biodiversity and livelihoods
• Severe floods in 2002, strong heat waves in 2003 and altogether three drought years between 2000 and 2007 support this assumption
Hyderabad Urban Agglomeration
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1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Annual growth: 3-7%; Contribution of in-migration to growth: 25-30%
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P 10
Project Design
Dissemination StrategyWP 9
Action PlanWP 8
Food/ Poverty/ HealthResources/ Environment/
Infrastructure
Knowledge Generation
and Application
Institutions and
Governance Structures
WP 2
WP 4 WP 5
WP 3
Communication Strategies
WP 6
Cooperation Strategies
WP 7
WP 1Climate Change
Project Structure
First year's program
Projection of relevant climate/weather variables for Hyderabad
Identification of qualitative climate impact paths
CO2-Emissions from the city
Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Impacts of projected climate change for Hyderabad
Objectives:
projected impacts on food security, health, transport, energy provision, natural resource management
Methods:
historical analogues, mechanistic modelling, expert/stakeholder interviews
Results:
„climate proofing“ of development plans/pilot projects and consideration of adaptation to unavoidable climate change
Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Impact Paths
1.Weather-elements:
(a) Extremes
Extreme rainfall events
Heat spells
(b) Averages
annual/seasonal rainfall
annual/seasonal temperature (of daily min/avg/max)
(c) .....
Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Impact Paths
1.Weather-elements:
(a) Extremes
Extreme rainfall events
Heat spells
(b) Averages
annual/seasonal rainfall
annual/seasonal temperature (of daily min/avg/max)
(c) ....
Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
1954:> 240 mm/day
28/9/1908:408 mm/day
Historical extreme precipitation events in Hyderabad
8-9/8/2008:110 mm/day
22-23/08/2000: 240 mm/day77 slums being completely washed away
Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
2. Impact Diagram (subsection)
Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
............
Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Cross-cutting: Several fields affected by one type of event
Adaptation
Improvement of drainage
Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Adaptation
Improvementof construction
Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Relevant Climate Change Impact Paths for Hyderabadafter a first round of expert and stakeholder consultations(as of July 09)