Children's Parties and Other Ways to Cope with the Future

A children’s party, and other ways to cope with the future

tonzijlstra.euknowledge work, learning, complexity

Bad Soden, 29 October 2013

ARAS Community Event Europe

#ACEEU @ton_zylstradinsdag 29 oktober 13

A children’s party and other ways to cope with the future

29-10-2013ACE Europe

http://www.flickr.com/photos/christchurchcitylibraries/2883645994/

dinsdag 29 oktober 13

http://www.flickr.com/photos/fredarmitage/1057613629/

“the future is already here”

“it’s just not very evenly distributed”dinsdag 29 oktober 13

internet is to blame

http://www.flickr.com/photos/kirklau/1638526962/

as is mobile communications

http://www.flickr.com/photos/menteblu61/6158389744/

unintended consequences

http://www.flickr.com/photos/dhdesign/1096464615/

more connections

http://internetcensus2012.github.io/InternetCensus2012/images/geovideo.gif

more real connections

death of the middlemen

http://www.flickr.com/photos/triterion/4063862492/

increased complexity, network metaphors

more information

opening existing data, access, knowledge, everything

existing data accessible (long tail)new data (qs)

internet of things

adding new data

higher speed

http://www.flickr.com/photos/drewgeraets/122412289/dinsdag 29 oktober 13

non-linear change, cascading failures

http://www.flickr.com/photos/newtown_grafitti/7209476640/

exponential tech development

orders faster, cheaper, bigger

http://www.flickr.com/photos/trevorandmarjee/8627043583/

Networked life, networked work, networked learningDigital Disruption Wave

disruption waves

http://www.flickr.com/photos/73416633@N00/

impact of more connections

increase in complexity

party planning

http://www.flickr.com/photos/foreignoffice/2132852569/dinsdag 29 oktober 13

“Berlin is a pulsing, exciting city with so many varied and distinctive neighborhoods, iconic history all around, great food at all levels and from every corner of the world ... an excellent place to set up camp and make a great record.” (R.E.M. in Rolling Stone, July 2010)

we are sensitive to complexity

and recognize its traces

• through connectedness more things are now complex

• if treat complex like ‘normal’ we fail: better lists, AGI example on KM tools

when better lists are useless

seeing layers

chaos: get out of the car, get off the road, where’s my phone!

seeing layers

simple: you probably drove too fast, here’s a ticket.

seeing layers

complicated: 28 incidents already, let’s place a warning sign.

seeing layers

complicated: 28 incidents already, let’s place a warning sign.

complex: weather, speed, roads, car(s), light, animals, me, let’s consider all

simple

complicated

complex

• matrix, swallow the pill

take the red pill

http://www.flickr.com/photos/9731367@N02/8593252248/

• droogzwemmen bestaat niet

no dry runs, cheap ‘live’ experimentation

This group did not exist

according to public policy

Shop theft

(source: Cognitive Edge)

narrative as measurement

understanding our networks

(Paul Baran, 1964)

network metaphor leading

68dinsdag 29 oktober 13

• social media is social because it networks around info-objects (social objects)

mostly useless metrics

70B items / month (fb)190M / day (t)3k / min (fl)17M items (wpedia)100hrs / min (yt)

http://www.flickr.com/photos/jasonahowie/8583949219

‘if FB were a country’1,1B

http://www.flickr.com/photos/marc_smith/6785112263

interesting metrics are about interaction

functional communities (Wenger)

rhythm

perspectives

spaces

evolution

excitement

engagement

http://www.flickr.com/photos/neoluk/6185522717/

Michel Bauwens, p2pfoundation.net

impact of more information

the need to share

more data = different

http://www.flickr.com/photos/walkingsf/4671578001/

big data pitfalls: lack of context and hoarding

http://visual.ly/big-data

open data

releasing data as intervention

data is a social object

existing data accessible (long tail)new data (qs)

internet of things

QS as new social objects

IoT, sharing and acting

http://www.botanicalls.com/graphics/kit/sparkfun/800/IMG_8581_800.jpg

impact of higher speed

http://www.flickr.com/photos/drewgeraets/122412289/dinsdag 29 oktober 13

non-linear change, cascading failures

non-linear change, ‘sudden emergence’

exponential tech development

http://www.hive76.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/LowerMag_WithFingerAndScaleBar_162pixelsPerMillimeter.jpg

Organic printing

Solutions to foodproblems? health?

(Siert Wijnia)dinsdag 29 oktober 13

http://www.flickr.com/photos/wellcomeimages/5814146087/

10^14, 2:47

http://www.flickr.com/photos/streamishmc/3836771157/

http://www.flickr.com/photos/herselfsphotos/1205396238/

wrap up

just getting started

http://www.flickr.com/photos/kirklau/1638526962/

roll with it, resistance is futile

http://www.flickr.com/photos/toohotty/2675099789/

complexity, networks, social (data) objects

http://www.flickr.com/photos/ringroadproductions/144808172/

http://www.flickr.com/photos/christchurchcitylibraries/2883645994/

enjoy the party!

CreditsAll photos: Ton Zijlstra, by nc saExcept where URL mentioned on the photo, there (c) original source at URL.

Slides: Ton Zijlstra, by

Slides: http://slideshare.net/tonzijlstraBlog: http://zylstra.org/blogContact: ton@tonzijlstra.euSkype: ton_zylstra

tonzijlstra.euknowledge work, learning, complexity

Children's Parties and Other Ways to Cope with the Future

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Transcript of Children's Parties and Other Ways to Cope with the Future

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