Post on 03-Jan-2016
Arjan Bruil & Jan W. van Tongeren
Analysing wealth
Introduction
– First NTA meeting – Paper outline
‐ Link to SNA framework‐ Methodological choices‐ First estimates for the Netherlands
– Main focus of presentation on wealth
2
Accounts
Full sequence of accounts, including:– Non-market household production– Capital transfers (SNA)– Actual wealth (SNA)
Some deviations from NTA manual:– Focus on extended households sector– Household head
Every account available for men / women 3
Actual Wealthdata sources
National Accounts Financial assets & liabilities 1995-2013 (ESA 2010) & 1990-1995 (ESA
1995)
Non-financial assets2010-2013 (ESA 2010) & 1996-2012 (ESA
1995)
Micro data Wealth Statistics1993-2000 & 2006-2012
Pension Claims Statistics2005-2011
4
Actual Wealthpension entitlements – men – by income quintiles
5
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90 93 96 99 -
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
age
Actual Wealthclosing balance sheets - 2010
60 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90 93 96 99
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Total financial assets Total financial liabilities Total non-financial assets
Transfer Wealthmean ages
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Mean age including non-market household production
Mean ageexcluding non-market household production
Economic lifecycle
… labour income 44,6 43,9
… consumption 39,2 38,5
Private transfers
… inflows 30,1 26,0
… outflows 44,3 43,9
Public transfers
… inflows 40,7 40,7
… outflows 44,7 44,7
Concluding remarks
8
– First results for the Netherlands– Paper gives an extensive overview of the work done for
the Netherlands– No evidence for Lifecycle Hypothesis– Transfer wealth flows downwards
Thank you for your attention
9
Arjan BruilStatistics Netherlandsa.bruil@cbs.nl+31 70 337 45 31