Airline Data Prediction With Ln Feb 25

Post on 26-Sep-2015

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airline data prediction with ln econ 338

Transcript of Airline Data Prediction With Ln Feb 25

Sheet4SUMMARY OUTPUTRegression StatisticsMultiple R0.9805933349R Square0.9615632885Adjusted R Square0.9571705215Standard Error58.2762630536Observations40ANOVAdfSSMSFSignificance FRegression42973603.67575758743400.918939394218.89694659130Residual35118864.2992424243396.1228354978Total393092467.975CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%Intercept172.241666666725.51320331656.75107960890.0000000802120.4470470553224.036286278120.4470470553224.036286278X Variable 122.52537878790.802000674928.0864835827020.897228870124.153528705720.897228870124.1535287057X Variable 262.576136363626.17276089452.3908878630.02231938679.4425420481115.70973067929.4425420481115.7097306792X Variable 3122.350757575826.11125020814.68574873290.000041295969.342036745175.359478406569.342036745175.3594784065X Variable 4229.925378787926.07427414498.81809317150.0000000002176.9917234479282.8590341279176.9917234479282.85903412794547184547185946759467165201165201323006323006607003607003

Sheet5SUMMARY OUTPUTRegression StatisticsMultiple R0.9929630321R Square0.9859755831Adjusted R Square0.9843727926Standard Error0.0486728807Observations40ANOVAdfSSMSFSignificance FRegression45.8293950911.4573487728615.16185646040Residual350.08291672590.0023690493Total395.912311817CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%Intercept5.73983052060.0213088663269.363486002205.69657116935.7830898725.69657116935.783089872X Variable 10.03189339350.000669838547.613558669600.03053354740.03325323960.03053354740.0332532396X Variable 20.09144557390.0218597354.18328830870.00018312370.04706789830.13582324950.04706789830.1358232495X Variable 30.16761684240.02180836077.68589829470.00000000510.12334346230.21189022240.12334346230.2118902224X Variable 40.29128283040.02177747813.375416155600.24707214580.33549351510.24707214580.33549351515.73983052060.03189339350.09144557390.16761684240.2912828304

Sheet6SUMMARY OUTPUTRegression StatisticsMultiple R0.986162091R Square0.9725156696Adjusted R Square0.9651865149Standard Error22.9631589Observations20ANOVAdfSSMSFSignificance FRegression4279876.269969.05132.69138135940Residual157909.6527.3066666667Total19287785.8CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%Intercept241.614.970148073216.13878492170.0000000001209.6918650777273.5081349223209.6918650777273.5081349223X Variable 119.050.90769855520.98714369017.115285138220.984714861817.115285138220.9847148618X Variable 264.7514.77626193144.38202843860.000535858233.255123860596.244876139533.255123860596.2448761395X Variable 387.114.63619941565.95099844750.000026582355.9036602298118.296339770255.9036602298118.2963397702X Variable 4142.0514.55151481239.76187028170.0000000685111.0341612999173.0658387001111.0341612999173.0658387001

Sheet1monthlycomp1YtlnYttq1q2q3log pred1123623625.891644211811001183793855.953243334320101323824326.068425588230011293853415.831882477340001214043825.945420608651001354314096.01371515660101484324986.21060007770011484033875.95842469380001363594736.159095388591001193415136.2402758452100101043375826.366470447711001b0rhohat101183594746.161207321712000bmrhohat201153825446.298949246913100b1rhohat301264025826.366470447714010b2rhohat401414016816.523562306115001b31354095576.322565239916000b401254446286.4425401665171001494897076.561030665918010x1704987736.6502790486190011704615926.383506634920000158405627211333877252211439985423140435661241454731504911785131635131725491785761995821995451844921624741464831665171715441805541935571815821836312186902306812426422095721915571725621945861966281966672367002357072297362437792647732727202376282115921805852015932046271886502356962277252348002648593028542937812596912296612036742297042427422337692678062698542709493151026364102334793331282327478923779927883928487827790731794831310053181105374119241311734051066355932306883271892306922315972301100535610593481125355124242213544651336467121840410563479883059813369943401020318102836210733481146363128943514314911400505126840410733591006310100733710393601108342114440612223961288420144047215795481570559142946312324071174362118440512134171227391127141913524611468472162953517636221736606157550813594611283390432

Sheet7SUMMARY OUTPUTRegression StatisticsMultiple R0.986162091R Square0.9725156696Adjusted R Square0.9651865149Standard Error22.9631589Observations20ANOVAdfSSMSFSignificance FRegression4279876.269969.05132.69138135940Residual157909.6527.3066666667Total19287785.8CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%Intercept241.614.970148073216.13878492170.0000000001209.6918846924273.5081153076209.6918846924273.5081153076X Variable 119.050.90769855520.98714369017.115286327520.984713672517.115286327520.9847136725X Variable 264.7514.77626193144.38202843860.000535858233.255143221196.244856778933.255143221196.2448567789X Variable 387.114.63619941565.95099844750.000026582355.9036794069118.296320593155.9036794069118.2963205931X Variable 4142.0514.55151481239.76187028170.0000000685111.0341803661173.0658196339111.0341803661173.0658196339

Sheet8SUMMARY OUTPUTRegression StatisticsMultiple R0.9922297535R Square0.9845198838Adjusted R Square0.9803918528Standard Error0.0333233152Observations20ANOVAdfSSMSFSignificance FRegression41.05934625610.264836564238.49624373330Residual150.016656650.0011104433Total191.0760029061CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%Intercept5.68393913480.0217241436261.641573950305.63763521875.73024305095.63763521875.7302430509X Variable 10.03729817820.001317219728.315837156700.03449059090.04010576550.03449059090.0401057655X Variable 20.12790718570.0214427835.96504594150.00002591420.08220297560.17361139580.08220297560.1736113958X Variable 30.17002617290.02123952938.00517613090.00000085430.12475518780.21529715790.12475518780.2152971579X Variable 40.26964839840.02111663812.76947581060.00000000180.22463934990.31465744690.22463934990.3146574469

Sheet2monthlycomp1YtlnYttq1q2q3log pred1123623625.891644211811001183793855.95324333432010reg add1323824326.068425588230011293853415.831882477340001214043825.945420608651001354314096.01371515660101484324986.21060007770011484033875.95842469380001363594736.159095388591001193415136.2402758452100101043375826.366470447711001b05.6839391348rhohat10.99769569671183594746.161207321712000bm0.0372981782rhohat21.00450401291153825446.298949246913100b10.1279071857rhohat31.02045158421264025826.366470447714010b20.1700261729rhohat40.97734870611414016816.523562306115001b30.26964839841354095576.322565239916000b441254446286.4425401665171001494897076.561030665918010xlnkmpredexp1704987736.6502790486190015.82604481171704615926.3835066349200006.5940767072730.75387535651584056276.595108063211006.6765411261793.56950266081333877256.6745252284220106.8205993141916.53413737371143998546.8114456321230016.568957188712.6263202461404356616.579095411924000145473150491SSEKMSSElnKM178513384902.22993932910764.8666514952163513515991.4877058424701.7766951432172549717728.4466519323910.5183370712178576428266.7203618542665.27694214141995822046888.8846589622042.43862585111995451844921624741464831665171715441805541935571815821836312186902306812426422095721915571725621945861966281966672367002357072297362437792647732727202376282115921805852015932046271886502356962277252348002648593028542937812596912296612036742297042427422337692678062698542709493151026364102334793331282327478923779927883928487827790731794831310053181105374119241311734051066355932306883271892306922315972301100535610593481125355124242213544651336467121840410563479883059813369943401020318102836210733481146363128943514314911400505126840410733591006310100733710393601108342114440612223961288420144047215795481570559142946312324071174362118440512134171227391127141913524611468472162953517636221736606157550813594611283390432

Sheet3monthlycomp1YtlnYttq1q2q3log pred1123623625.891644211811001183793855.95324333432010reg KMacK1323824326.068425588230011293853415.831882477340001214043825.945420608651001354314096.01371515660101484324986.21060007770011484033875.95842469380001363594736.159095388591001193415136.2402758452100101043375826.366470447711001b0241.6rhohat12.78681831441183594746.161207321712000bm19.05rhohat22.72545931761153825446.298949246913100b164.75rhohat32.83082796471264025826.366470447714010b287.1rhohat42.05686789151414016816.523562306115001b3142.051354095576.322565239916000b410.39997348821254446286.4425401665171001494897076.561030665918010x1704987736.6502790486190013001704615926.383506634920000apredlnprpred158405627706.421100724.39177863536.5386702207691.366601506627133387725747.822010786.8673222216.6146924019745.9752344664725114399854821.823001866.882159646.7568106951859.8953493853854140435661698.824000722.591348836.531526968686.4455921072661145473150491SSE9485.15854574384143.05938943381785136304.363827.5655587945439.960460919163513519.84165.950036991234.75514437531725491036.843793.4942507015647.47815768471785761428.8417272.1683922315265.25315241281995829289.881995451844921624741464831665171715441805541935571815821836312186902306812426422095721915571725621945861966281966672367002357072297362437792647732727202376282115921805852015932046271886502356962277252348002648593028542937812596912296612036742297042427422337692678062698542709493151026364102334793331282327478923779927883928487827790731794831310053181105374119241311734051066355932306883271892306922315972301100535610593481125355124242213544651336467121840410563479883059813369943401020318102836210733481146363128943514314911400505126840410733591006310100733710393601108342114440612223961288420144047215795481570559142946312324071174362118440512134171227391127141913524611468472162953517636221736606157550813594611283390432