Post on 22-Jan-2018
TheREXpedition.com
AI Is a Two-Edged
Sword@JerryMichalski TECHfluence Panel May 2017
TheREXpedition.com
Since the First Computers
TheREXpedition.com
Two PathsBiology Logic
If x Then y Except when z
TheREXpedition.com
Two PathsBiology Logic
If x Then y Except when z
Neural Networks
TheREXpedition.com
Two PathsBiology Logic
If x Then y Except when z
Expert SystemsNeural Networks
TheREXpedition.com
Two Paths
Knowledge engineers + experts Explicit rules Mainstream in many areas Nice audit trail
Expert SystemsNeural Networks
“Learn” from big datasets Calculation intensive Sometimes amazing results No audit trail
TheREXpedition.com
Two Paths
Knowledge engineers + experts Explicit rules Mainstream in many areas Nice audit trail
Expert SystemsNeural Networks
“Learn” from big datasets Calculation intensive Sometimes amazing results No audit trail
1969
TheREXpedition.com
1987
TheREXpedition.com
1987
TheREXpedition.com
1987
TheREXpedition.com
CIE
TheREXpedition.com
2017
TheREXpedition.com
201730 Years Later
TheREXpedition.com
Machine Intelligence
Got better, too, but not as much
Expert SystemsDeep Learning
Many “hidden layers” Huge datasets HW: CPUs to GPUs to TPUs Breakthrough performance Narrow domains
TheREXpedition.com
Machine Intelligence
Got better, too, but not as much
Expert SystemsDeep Learning
Many “hidden layers” Huge datasets HW: CPUs to GPUs to TPUs Breakthrough performance Narrow domains
Kevin Kelly: “Cognification”
TheREXpedition.com
Machine Intelligence
Got better, too, but not as much
Expert SystemsDeep Learning
Many “hidden layers” Huge datasets HW: CPUs to GPUs to TPUs Breakthrough performance Narrow domains
Artificial General Intelligence?
Kevin Kelly: “Cognification”
TheREXpedition.com
Machine Intelligence
Got better, too, but not as much
Expert SystemsDeep Learning
Many “hidden layers” Huge datasets HW: CPUs to GPUs to TPUs Breakthrough performance Narrow domains
Superintelligence?Artificial General Intelligence?
Kevin Kelly: “Cognification”
TheREXpedition.com
Our Future with AI
Utopia Dystopia
2017
Leisure
Abundance
Skynet
Westworld
WALL-E
Her
JetsonsElysium
The Circle Black Mirror
Efficiency
Singularity Singularity
• Scarcity • No jobs • No meaning • Surveillance
FALCFully Automated
Luxury Communism
2037
TheREXpedition.com
Our Future with AI
Utopia Dystopia
2017
Leisure
Abundance
Skynet
Westworld
WALL-E
Her
JetsonsElysium
The Circle Black Mirror
Efficiency
Singularity Singularity
• Scarcity • No jobs • No meaning • Surveillance
• Jobs always appear! • AI won’t be so bad • Privacy is so 60s…
FALCFully Automated
Luxury Communism
2037
TheREXpedition.com
Our Future with AI
Utopia Dystopia
2017
Leisure
Abundance
Skynet
Westworld
WALL-E
Her
JetsonsElysium
The Circle Black Mirror
Efficiency
Singularity Singularity
• Scarcity • No jobs • No meaning • Surveillance
• Jobs always appear! • AI won’t be so bad • Privacy is so 60s…
FALCFully Automated
Luxury Communism
2037
TheREXpedition.com
Our Future with AI
Utopia Dystopia
2017
Leisure
Abundance
Skynet
Westworld
WALL-E
Her
JetsonsElysium
The Circle Black Mirror
Efficiency
Singularity Singularity
• Scarcity • No jobs • No meaning • Surveillance
• Jobs always appear! • AI won’t be so bad • Privacy is so 60s…
FALCFully Automated
Luxury Communism
2037
CMMC
PPPP??
TheREXpedition.com
Consumer Mass-Market Capitalism• Many flavors of Capitalism
• Citizens ➡ Consumers
• Advertising = war
• Cruel US Social Contract
• Poverty = dismal trap
• Increasing income inequality
TheREXpedition.com
$?Wall Street pressure
TheREXpedition.com
$?Advertising!
Wall Street pressure
TheREXpedition.com
Surveillance Capitalism
TheREXpedition.com
Surveillance Capitalism
The Stalker Economy
TheREXpedition.com
Minority Report: Ethan in the Mall
TheREXpedition.com
Jobs at Risk• Driving (27%!)
• Retail
• Thinking: writing, legal
• Full-time work disappearing (gigs)
• The Precariat
• Tasks, not jobs
TheREXpedition.com
Two-Curve Problem
Horse and Carriage
Automobiles
TheREXpedition.com
Two-Curve Problem
Horse and Carriage
Automobiles
TheREXpedition.com
Two-Curve Problem
Horse and Carriage
Automobiles
• Electrification • The Telegraph • The Internet • Smartphones
TheREXpedition.com
Software Automation = Flesh-Eating Bacterium
TheREXpedition.com
Humans vs. Software
• Get tired
• Get sick
• Ask for raises
• Get cranky
• Retire
• Doesn’t do any of those
• Keeps getting better
• Keeps getting cheaper
• Perfectly replicable
Humans Software
TheREXpedition.com
No Second Curve?
TheREXpedition.com
PPPP
TheREXpedition.com
PPPPPale Patriarchal Penis People
TheREXpedition.com
PPPP
Algorithm Culture
Pale Patriarchal Penis People
TheREXpedition.com
PPPP
Efficiency
Algorithm Culture
Pale Patriarchal Penis People
TheREXpedition.com
PPPP
Efficiency
Scale
Algorithm Culture
Pale Patriarchal Penis People
TheREXpedition.com
PPPP
Efficiency
Scale
Profit
Algorithm Culture
Pale Patriarchal Penis People
TheREXpedition.com
Key Levers:
• Hacking Capitalism (for the better)
• Waking up (and diversifying) tech’s architects
• Designing from trust
TheREXpedition.com
Key Levers:
• Hacking Capitalism (for the better)
• Waking up (and diversifying) tech’s architects
• Designing from trust
Guaranteed Basic Income
TheREXpedition.com
Key Levers:
• Hacking Capitalism (for the better)
• Waking up (and diversifying) tech’s architects
• Designing from trust
Guaranteed Basic Income
TheREXpedition.com
For More Info
JerrysBrain.com
@JerryMichalski