A Dramatic About Face: The Rush to the West Coast with Powder River Basin Coal

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A Dramatic About Face: The Rush to the West Coast with Powder River Basin Coal. Thomas Michael Power Research Professor & Professor Emeritus Economics Department, University of Montana Power Consulting Missoula, Montana tom. power@mso.umt.ed u. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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A Dramatic About Face:The Rush to the West Coast with

Powder River Basin Coal

Thomas Michael Power

Research Professor & Professor Emeritus

Economics Department, University of Montana

Power Consulting

Missoula, Montana

tom. power@mso.umt.edu

SE Coastal Chinese Market: 660 tonsPotential Increase in Coal Use: 98 tons

Percent of new coal consumption: 70%Percent of coal displaced: 30%

We project that a 140 million ton per year export level would lower the delivered price of coal in SE China 12.4%

Exports Will Boost Coal Consumption and GHG Emissions in China

Sensitivity of Chinese Use of Coal to the Cost of Coal

10% Cost Decrease Causes a 12% Increase in Use

The Equivalent of 14 Centralia Electric Generating Plants183 million tons of CO2

Greenhouse Gas Emissions from 98 million tons of coal per year:

Thank You!

Thomas Michael Power

tom.power@mso.umt.eduwww.powereconconsulting.com