Post on 14-Jan-2016
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2007 Household Budget SurveyResults and Last Year GBS Review
National Bureau of Statistics
November 2008
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Outline of presentation 2007 HBS Results
Next Step for 2007 HBS
Key achievement since last GBS Review
National Panel Survey
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Sample Designing
Sample Frame was drawn from 2002 Population and Housing Census (EAs), with new HH listing undertaken
Stratified households within EAs based on socio-economic information – low, middle and high income
10, 466 HH were analysed (97%) out of 10,752 HHs
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Social Sector Indicators:- Demographic, Health and Education
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Demographic Indicators
The average number of household has declined from 4.9 persons per household in 2001 to 4.8 in 2007. (This implies that total fertility rate has also declined from 6.2 children per woman in 2002 to 5.8 in 2007 (THIM, 2007)
Continued rise in female-headed households across strata since 1991
Small increase in proportion of total population and HH heads over 65
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Female-headed households
14
24
1718
21
28
2223
25
30
2325
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
DSM Other urban Rural Total
1991/92 2000/01 2006/07
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Health
The 2000/01 and 2007 surveys collected information on whether individuals had been ill or injured in the past four weeks, type of illness, type of health provider that had been consulted, if any, and satisfaction with the source of care.
Similar proportions reporting illness in the last four weeks, and similar patterns by area (rural>other urban>Dar) between the two surveys (2002 and 2007)
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Health 69 percent of individuals in household consult
any provider four weeks before the survey. No change in proportions consulting any provider when sick or injured (69%), (2001 -2007) but:
Over 65 percent of individuals consulted Government facilities compared with 55 % in 2001. This implies increase in consultation at government facilities over a period of six years (2001 -2007).
Small increase in proportion satisfied with services in govt facilities, fewer reporting lack of drugs
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Consultation with govt providers
43
28
50
17
44 43 4537
729
8
47
11
23
10 28
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007
Dar es Salaam Other urban areas Rural areas Mainland Tanzania
Public dispensary or hospital* Public /community health centre
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Education Compared with 2000/01:
Little change in overall adult literacy levels
Large increase in enrolment rates, both primary and secondary
Improvements in class attended for age of child (eg 30% (2007) of 9 year olds in school in St III, cf 13% (2001)
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Net enrolment ratios - primary, lower secondary
71
91
71
91
56
82
59
84
19
30
15
28
2
105
15
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007
Dar es Salaam Other urban areas Rural areas Mainland Tanzania
Primary NER Lower secondary NER
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Housing and household amenities Substantial improvements in use
of ‘permanent’ housing materials - in all areas (Dar/OU/rural)
7 % of households with no toilet facilities
Drinking water: apparent decline in piped water
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House construction materials (%)
55
4335
21
3326
16
35
25
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1991/92 2000/01 2007
Metal roof Non-earth floor Durable walls
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Drinking water supply (%) – Safe Water
9386
58
73 76
61
2528
23
3639
34
48
25
11 1216
1018 18
1016 18
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1991
/92
2000
/01
2007
1991
/92
2000
/01
2007
1991
/92
2000
/01
2007
1991
/92
2000
/01
2007
Dar es Salaam Other urban areas Rural areas Mainland Tanzania
Any piped water Any other protected source
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Ownership of selected consumer assetsDar Other Urb Rural Mainland Tanzania
2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007
Radio / r. cassette
79.6 80.0 71.5 73.3 45.7 62.2 51.9 66.2
Telephone - any
9.863.7
2.943.3
0.214.3
1.225.0
Landline NA 2.8 NA 1.9 NA 0.6 NA 1.1
Cellphone NA 62.8 NA 42.5 NA 13.9 NA 24.5
Television 20.1 37.7 7.0 15.8 0.2 1.8 2.6 8.2
Computer* 1.4 3.2 1.5 0.5 1.4 0.1 1.4 0.5
Mosquito nets
79.6 92.0 66.3 84.1 27.9 61.3 37.1 68.9
Motor vehicle
5.9 4.4 2.2 2.2 0.7 0.3 1.3 1.1
Motor cycle 1.4 1.1 1.8 2.9 0.7 1.2 0.9 1.5
Bicycle 11.6 15.5 34.3 35.9 38.4 45.4 36.0 40.5
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Households’ main cooking energy
4.42.0 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.9 0.40.4 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2
43.0
12.28.9
6.0
1.0 0.75.0
3.0
46.2
71.0
53.3 53.9
3.97.0
14.2
22.7
4.6
12.4
33.837.7
93.4 91.8
78.5
73.1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007 2000/01 2007
Dar es Salaam Other urbanareas
Rural areas MainlandTanzania
Electricity Gas - industrial Paraffin/Kerosene* Charcoal Firewood
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Electricity-Percentage of Households with Electricity
10.01.6
58.9
1.3
29.7
1.7 2.0 1.60.6 0.7 0.50.9 2.5
25.9
50.8
12.1
0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.0
Ele
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Sol
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Ele
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Sol
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Ele
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Ele
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MainlandTanzania
Dar esSalaam
Other urban Rural
Strata
Per
cen
t
2000/01 2007
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Household productive activities Main activity of adults:
- decline in farming between 2001 and 2007
- rise employment and self-employment
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Household banking and finance Since 2000/01, modest increases in households
with at least one member: - having a bank account, (but large drop 91-01) - taking a bank loan , - participating in informal (and formal) savings groups
Overall levels still low and more concentrated in urban areas : This is a challenges that need to tackled by Financial Institutions
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Household banking and saving (% HHs with at least one member with…)
10.0
18.0
6.4
0.62.7
1.2 3.8
7.8
5.1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1991/92 2000/01 2007
Bank account Bank loan last year Informal savings group
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Structure of Consumption
Across all strata, mean food expenditure per capita is higher in Dar es Salaam compared to other areas
In total, food expenditure per capita has increased from TShs. 6,137 in 2001 to TShs. 11,919 in 2007.
In all categories, total expenditure
per capita has increased from TShs. 9,972 in 2001 to TShs. 20,288
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Expenditure per capita
Dar es Salaam
Other urban areas Rural areas Total
2000 2007 2000 2007200
0 2007 2000 2007
Food purchased
10,301
18,680
7,114
12,650
3,118 5,944
4,085
8,145
Food not purchased 368 526 876
1,717
2,375 4,612
2,051
3,775
Food total
10,668
19,206
7,989
14,367
5,492
10,556
6,137
11,919
Durables1,89
22,63
01,09
92,09
0 484 767 6501,14
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Medical 569 793 338 490 190 286 232 363
Education 9742,26
2 4311,05
9 138 248 227 552
Other non-Durables
7,006
13,567
4,253
8,217
2,146 4,368
2,718
5,782
Telecommunications 304
2,821 74 877 6 194 33 524
Total pc
21,183
41,279
14,131
27,100
8,452
16,418
9,972
20,288
Not adjusted for prices
Mean Expenditure per Capita by Category of Item (Nominal figures, 28 days, TZ Shillings)
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Structure of Consumption
Households in Dar es Salaam spend the lowest proportion on food (53 percent), while rural households have the highest food share (67 percent) .
The share of expenditure on food has declined modestly in all areas, particularly in Dar es Salaam and other urban areas,
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Shares per capitaDar es Salaam
Other urban Rural Total
2000
2007
2000
2007
2000
2007
2000
2007
Food purchased pc 53.1 51.6 53.4 49.4 35.5 33.3 39.0 37.6
Food not purchased pc 2.1 1.8 8.0 9.4 32.1 33.2 27.0 26.5
Durables pc 5.2 4.6 5.3 5.5 4.5 3.9 4.7 4.2
Other non-Durables pc 31.6 30.9 27.5 28.6 24.1 25.8 25.0 26.7
Medical pc 2.9 2.1 2.4 1.9 2.1 1.8 2.2 1.8
Education pc 4.1 3.7 3.1 2.9 1.7 1.4 2.0 1.8
Telecommunications pc 0.9 5.4 0.3 2.1 0.0 0.6 0.1 1.3
Of which, total food 55.2 53.3 61.4 58.9 67.5 66.5 66.0 64.1
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Poverty Line
Two poverty line are used to estimate poverty levels in Tanzania.
Food Poverty line: The household food consumption pattern is examined from the information recorded from the households for one calendar month. This examination takes into account the type, quantity and price of each food item consumed in the household. After establishing both the type and quantities of each food item consumed in the household, the caloric value is then determined. The WHO recommends a minimum of 2,200 kilo-calories per adult per day
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Poverty Line
2000/01 poverty line inflated using Fisher index
2000/01 2007Food 5,295 10,219Basic Needs 7,253 13,998
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Incidence of poverty - headcount
Year Dar Urban
Rural Total
Food 1991 13.6 15.0 23.1 21.6
2001 7.5 13.2 20.4 18.7
2007 6.7 12.9 18.4 16.5
Basic 1991 28.1 28.7 40.8 38.6
2001 17.6 25.8 38.7 35.7
2007 16.2 24.1 37.4 33.3
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Conclusion Substantial improvements in schooling, fewer
individuals in the households did not satisfied with availability of drugs in the Government facilities. Many individuals consulted Government facilities when they were sick or injured.
Shortage of water supplies and especially in Dar es Salaam and fewer number of households with no toilet facilities.
Improvements in housing materials and increase in the ownership of many consumer goods
The proportion of people living in poverty has decreased by 2.2 percentage points, (2001-2007)
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2007 HBS Next -Step Further analysis of 2007 HBS results will be
required: National Team of Analysts from WB, UDSM, OPM, NBS and REPOA will be involved in this task
Some issue such as rural-urban migration, limitation of headcount ratio for estimating poverty level, female headed households (increase in numbers) requires further analysis
Methodological issues of computing incidence of poverty
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HBS 2007, next steps HBS results will feed into:
Rebasing of GDP Preparation of quarterly GDP Updating of NCPI basket Prepare 2007HBS Popular Version – Swahili
These activities will start January 2009.
Deliverables Quarterly GDP expected April 2008 Updated CPI expected - June 2008 Rebased GDP expected – May 2008
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Key achievements since last annual review
2006/07 Integrated Labor Force Survey completed and released
2007 HIV/AIDS survey completed and released
2007 Census of Business establishments finalized
2007 HBS analyzed and released and posted to NBS Website –www.nbs.go.tz
National Panel Survey fielded TSMP strategy finalized
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Key achievements since last annual reviewTanzania Statistical Master Plan;Strategic plan is ready Vision is to have a well-integrated and efficient
national statistical system that produce quality statistics for decision makers in an objective, timely and cost-effective manner.
TSMP’s core activities include: Legal and institutional reform; Revision of
2002 Statistical Act Enhanced professionalism; capacity building
and incentive reform Adequate office space and transport
equipment
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Tanzania Statistical Master Plan (TSMP)
Enhanced service orientation; improved data access for general public
Improved economic statistics
Improved GIS; for census preparation and presentation of routine data
Coordinated National Statistical System, including strengthened routine data systems
Continue household survey program
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Tanzania Statistical Master Plan Strategic plan submitted to cabinet
by December 2008
Implementation plan is being finalized by December 2008
Funding from GoT and DPs DPs requested to support through
pooled fund. Pool will be fully functional next Fiscal
Year
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National Panel Survey (NPS) NBS committed to delivering the NPS last
Annual Review
Extensive survey covering consumption, poverty, shocks, agriculture, assets, health, education, nutrition, access to finance, employment & self-employment.
Modular approach allows to add and omit certain modules while maintaining comparability of the core
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National Panel Survey (NPS) Panel survey was fielded in October
Real time data entry in the field ensures data will be available for analysis by September 2009, in time for annual review
Interim data available May 2009
If round 1 is successful, NPS data will be available annually around September
Revision of questionnaire starts May 2009 for round 2 Suggestions are welcome for new modules
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Summary NBS will continue to support the results
orientation of MKUKUTA with quality data
Next year some updated and improved products will be released: Quarterly GDP Rebased National Accounts Updated CPI
Support NBS to realize its vision of a world class statistical institution in Africa by supporting TSMP implementation Join statistics pool
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END
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