110410 gov general election 50m

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Transcript of 110410 gov general election 50m

Still grading journals,

Please take out a second sheet of paper for today’s opener.

In case of a code red…

DRAW A LINE SEPARATING TODAY & YESTERDAY1) Write: Date: 11/04/10, Topic: General Elections2) Next line, write “Opener #39” and then:

1) Write 1 high+1 low in last 24 hours2) Rate your understanding of yesterday: lost<1-5>too easy (3 is perfect)

3) Respond to the Opener by writing at least 1 sentences about:Your opinions/thoughts OR/AND

Questions sparked by the clip OR/AND

Summary of the clip OR/AND

Announcements: None

Agenda1) General Elections

Primary Objective1) How does America choose its president?

Reminder1) Complete podcast, pick election stories.

Review

Primary Elections (Jan-Jun)

Voters Vote

Based on Voter Results, Delegated Pledged to Candidates

Delegates go to Convention (Aug), 50%+ is winner.

Dem: 20% of del. Are super del, pledged to

no one.

Focus most energy on first 2:

IA, NH (Jan)

Gen elec in Nov

Notes #39a, Title: “General Election Notes” 1) General Election (Nov): Primary winner from each

party (including 3rd parties) fight. Ppl Vote > Electoral College Votes > Winner 2) Electoral College (EC) (Dec): Constitutionally

created a safety check. Each state legislatures picks ppl to be electors (538). EC electors pledge to vote how state’s voters voted.

3) EC Representation: Each state gets # of electors equal to # US Senators (2) + # of US House members (53). Total: 100+435+3 for DC=538

4) General Election is Winner Takes All (270): Unlike primaries, general elec is winner takes all. If someone wins plurality (more than others) of the voters, they get ALL that state’s electoral votes.

Notes #39a, Title: “General Election Notes” 1) General Election (Nov): Primary winner from each

party (including 3rd parties) fight. Ppl Vote > Electoral College Votes > Winner (270)

Notes #39a, Title: “General Election Notes” 2) Electoral College (EC) (Dec): Constitutionally

created a safety check/state empowerment. Each state legislatures picks ppl to be electors (538). EC electors pledge to vote how state’s voters voted.

Notes #39a, Title: “General Election Notes” 3) EC Representation: Each state gets # of electors

equal to # US Senators (2) + # of US House members (53). Total: 100+435+3 for DC=538

House: 435

Senate: 100

DC: 3

435+100+3=538

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/

Notes #39a, Title: “General Election Notes” 4) General Election is Winner Takes All (270): Unlike

primaries, general elec is winner takes all. If someone wins plurality (more than others) of the voters, they get ALL that state’s electoral votes.

5) Electoral College Numbers: House (435)+ Senate (100)+DC (3)=538. Over 50% to win the EC. 538/2=269. 269+1=270. So 270/538 to win.

House: 435

Senate: 100

DC: 3

435+100+3=538538/2=269=50%, 270/538=50.1%

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/

If you won the 11 biggest states by 50.01% and no one in the next 39 states voted for you, you can win with

1/3 of America’s voters

Barbara Lett-Simmons (2000)

POPULATION ECUS 296,410,404 538

California 36,553,215 55

Texas 23,904,380 34

New York 19,297,729 31

North Dakota 639,715 3

Vermont 621,254 3

Wyoming 522,830 3

Journ #39a, “Electoral College Debate”1) Read the 2 sides, choose 1 side, and write

which you choose and explain why.2) Then write down what your partner thinks

(include their name at the end).1 2 3 4 5

CON: Ditch the EC

1) EC makes candidates ignore really liberal or conservative states

2) CA, biggest state totally ignored, give each voter equal voice

3) It’s confusing

PRO: Keep the EC

1) Its worked so far (kinda)

2) Small states get at least 3 EC, they need an amplified voice

3) One day we might need the safety check

Notes #39b, Title: “General Election Notes” 6) Swing Strategy: Ignore loyal and opponent states,

focus on swing.Current key swing states: Ohio, Florida, Nevada

7) Microtarget:Money +Time of Volunteersare Scarce,Target Use

2008: OBAMA: 365 MCCAIN: 173 69,456,897 (53%) 59,934,814 (46%)

2004: BUSH: 286 KERRY: 25162,040,610 (51%) 59,028,444 (48%)

2000: BUSH: 271 Gore: 266, 1 abstain50,456,002 (49%) 50,999,897 (49%)

BUSH:2,912,790

GORE:2,912,253

Difference:537 (MV Mock: 590)

Journ #39b, Title “Review Activity”Review Activity Roles: not the real mock electioni) Campaign Manager (leader/speech writer/debate prep)ii) Debater (What would you do as president?)iii) Ad Maker (make 5 ads)iv) Ad Maker (make 5 ads)DEM: Team 1: Edwards Team 2: ObamaTeam 3: RichardsonTeam 4: ClintonTeam 5: BidenGOP: Team 6: McCain Team 7: PaulTeam 8: Giuliani Team 9: Thompson

1) Write down your activity role2) Prepare debate draft or ad in journal.

Journ #39b, Title “Review Activity”Election Day (ONLY VOTE WHEN ITS OUR TURN)Team 1: NH/IA:Team 2: CA/OR/WA:Team 3: NV/UT/AZ/CO/NM:Team 4: ND/SD/NE/KS/OK/TX: Team 5: AR/LA/MS/AL/GA/SC/TN/KY:Team 6: IN/OH/WV/VA/NC:Team 7: MN/WI/IL/IN/MI:Team 8: OH/FL/PA:Team 9: MD/DE/DC/NJ/CT/MA/NH/NY/ME:

2 extra participation points for primary winner and general election winner

Journ #39b, Title “Review Activity”Election Day (ONLY VOTE WHEN ITS OUR TURN)Team 1: NH/IA: 11Team 2: CA/OR/WA: 73Team 3: NV/UT/AZ/CO/NM: 34Team 4: ND/SD/NE/KS/OK/TX: 58Team 5: AR/LA/MS/AL/GA/SC/TN/KY: 72Team 6: IN/OH/WV/VA/NC: 64Team 7: MN/WI/IL/IN/MI: 69Team 8: OH/FL/PA: 68 Team 9: MD/DE/DC/NJ/CT/MA/NH/NY/ME: 89

2 extra participation points for primary winner and general election winner

Journ #39b, “ 2012 EC Strategy”1) Read the chart with a partner (write their name, decide which candidate are you working for), and label your list (I-Impossible, L-Loyal, and S-Swing based on %), AND add Loyal and Swing to your list until you get to 270.

CREATE A LIST AND ADD UP L+SCalifornia 55 Hawaii 4New York 31Total of L+S: should reach 270

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/retro-POLCALCULATOR.html

HI: 4AK: 3

Journ #39b, Title “2008 EC Strategy”Hunstman: China Am/Ut Gov, worth $1 billionObama: PresidentBloomberg: NYC Mayor, worth $18 billionElection Day (ONLY VOTE WHEN ITS OUR TURN)Team 1: NH/IA: 11Team 2: CA/OR/WA: 73Team 3: NV/UT/AZ/CO/NM: 34Team 4: ND/SD/NE/KS/OK/TX: 58Team 5: AR/LA/MS/AL/GA/SC/TN/KY: 72Team 6: IN/OH/WV/VA/NC: 64Team 7: MN/WI/IL/IN/MI: 69Team 8: OH/FL/PA: 68 Team 9: MD/DE/DC/NJ/CT/MA/NH/NY/ME: 89

Journ #39c, Title “Mock Election Preview”2) What will be your winning strategy?(keep in mind voter profile and regional characteristics)

Journ #39d, Title “Student Election”

1) Copy Source Title: Frontrunners

2…) Discuss questions on the board with a partner. Summarize your discussion (include their name at the end). Remember participation points are deducted if off task. 5 Reading/Film Qs Come From These Work Sections

John Boehner

Kamela Harris

Nikki Haley/Nimrata Randhawa

Gavin Newsom

Jon Favreau