1 Population Projections and High School Enrollments 2013 to 2023 Daniel Martinez, PhD Director,...

Post on 02-Jan-2016

213 views 0 download

Tags:

Transcript of 1 Population Projections and High School Enrollments 2013 to 2023 Daniel Martinez, PhD Director,...

1

Population Projections and High School Enrollments2013 to 2023

Daniel Martinez, PhDDirector, Institutional Research

November 7, 2014

2

Data Sources

• EMSI• California Department of Education• Maptitude• American Community Survey• COD MIS Files

3

Source: Maptitude

4

Population Change, Coachella Valley*2013

Total Pop2023

Total Pop% Change Total Pop

2013 15-19 Pop

2023 15-19 Pop

% Change 15-19

West Valley 163,584 180,160 10% 10,101 10,252 2%Cathedral City, CA 55,807 61,562 10% 4122 4213 2%Desert Hot Springs, CA 46,543 52,337 12% 3225 3315 3%Palm Springs, CA 52,348 56,090 7% 2185 2142 -2%Thousand Palms, CA 8,886 10,171 14% 569 582 2%

Central Valley 126,677 141,510 12% 5,687 5,711 >1%Indian Wells, CA 4,880 5,665 16% 71 68 -4%La Quinta, CA 42,338 47,844 13% 2655 2761 4%Palm Desert, CA 61,663 68,027 10% 2497 2426 -3%Rancho Mirage, CA 17,796 19,974 12% 464 456 -2%

East Valley 170,167 199,465 17% 13,755 14,742 7%Coachella, CA 43,023 51,202 19% 4156 4510 9%Indio, CA 96,974 112,710 16% 6926 7353 6%Mecca, CA 13,630 16,042 18% 1271 1372 8%Thermal, CA 16,540 19,511 18% 1402 1507 7%

Grand Total 460,428 521,135 13% 29,543 30,705 4%*Updated Source: EMSI

5

Population Change Difference by Age, 2013-2023Coachella Valley-wide

West Valley Central Valley East Valley

-2000

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

Diff <15Diff 15-19 Diff 20-24Diff 25-29Diff 30-34Diff 35-39Diff 40-49Diff 50+

Source: EMSI

6

Coachella Valley Unified Desert Sands Unified Palm Springs Unified -

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

1,222

2,234

1,936

1,183

2,248

1,932

1,228

2,448

1,932

1,243

2,358

1,785

1,364

2,502

1,805

Total Enrolled Grade 12, Coachella Valley-wide, 2009-10 to 2013-14

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14

Source: CDE

7

Coachella Valley Unified Desert Sands Unified Palm Springs Unified -

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

918

1,934

1,538

958

1,902

1,478

995

2,073

1,565

917

2,004

1,470

Graduating Seniors, Coachella Valley-wide, 2009-10 to 2012-13

Source: CDE

8

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13

5,392 5,363 5,608

5,386

4,390 4,338 4,633

4,391

Coachella Valley-wide, Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors2009-10 to 2012-13

Enrolled Grade 12 Graduated

81% 81% 83% 82%

Source: CDE

9

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13

1,222 1,183

1,228 1,243

918 958

995

917

CVUSD, Ratio of Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors, 2009-10 to 2012-13

Enrolled Grade 12 Graduated

81% 81% 83% 82%

Source: CDE

10

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13

2,234 2,248

2,448 2,358

1,934 1,902

2,073 2,004

DSUSD, Ratio of Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors, 2009-10 to 2012-13

Enrolled Grade 12 Graduated

87% 85% 85% 85%

Source: CDE

11

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13

1,936 1,932 1,932

1,785

1,538 1,478

1,565 1,470

PSUSD, Ratio of Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors, 2009-10 to 2012-13

Enrolled Grade 12 Graduated

79% 77% 81% 82%

Source: CDE

12

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

4390 4338

4633

4391

1221 12131099 1127

Capture Rate for COD, Coachella Valley-wide, 2009-10 to 2012-13

High School GraduatesCOD Enrollment

28% 28% 24% 26%

Source: CDE and COD MIS files

13

CV Grads CV Capture DS Grads DS Capture PS Grads PS Capture0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Capture Rate by USD, Coachella Valley-wide, Average Capture Rate, 2009-10 to 2012-13

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13

27% 28% 24%

Source: CDE and COD MIS files

14

Source: Maptitude and CCCGIS

15

Source: Maptitude and CCCGIS

16

Educational Attainment, 25 years or older, 2013

Source: ACS

CVUSD Service Area DSUSD Service Area PSUSD Service Area0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

39%

17% 17%

47%

47% 51%

4%

7%7%

10%

28% 25%

Not a high school graduate High school graduate, no Associate's Associate's Bachelor's Degree or higher

17

Where do M/T Students Live?

Source: Maptitude and COD MIS files

18

For information about this presentation, please contactDr. Daniel Martinez

Director, Institutional Researchdamartinez@collegeofthedesert.edu

760-776-7212