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Improvement of Public Transport in SurabayaMultidisciplinary MSc ProjectFaculty Civil Engineering and Geosciences TU Delft

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Indonesia

• Population: 249 Million

• Dutch colony• Economic growth• Urbanization

• Weather• Nature

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Problem definitionSurabaya

• Congestion

• Increasing demand for mobility

• Air pollution and public health

• Traffic safety

• Social inclusion

-

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

2008 2009 2010 2011

244,435 526,837 823,849 974,266

1,028,686

3,007,739

4,465,144

5,726,514

Mobil

Sepeda Motor

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2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

2008 2009 2010 2011

244,435 526,837 823,849 974,266

1,028,686

3,007,739

4,465,144

5,726,514

Mobil

Sepeda Motor

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Research question

Which public transport system for Surabaya makes the entire city more sustainable, accessible and less congested, while creating most value for money?

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Use of Simulation

• OmniTRANS• Intensity and capacity of roads

• Java Spatial Model• Predicting settlement• Population• Employment

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Scenario set-up

Realistic scenario and two optimistic scenarios

1.Current Trend2.Super City3.Super City with Sustainable Conditions

  ScenariosCT 2030 SC 2030 SCSC 2030

GDP growth 5% 7% 7%Employment growth

1%-2% 2%-3% 2%-3%

Good governance - - +Economic centres - - +TDM - - +

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Alternatives

Alternative 1: Future plans Surabaya

Alternative 2: BRT ring road + grid

Alternative 3: Future plans + BRT ring road

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Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA)Scores for Current Trend 2030

MCA total scores

CT2030 Weight Base 2030

1. Future plans

Surabaya

2. Ring road + Grid

3. Future plans +

RingTravel time gain

0.3 0 1.7 3.6 4.7

Speed 0.2 5.6 6.0 8.7 6.8Accessibility 0.2 197,000 204,000 237,000 226,000PT trips 0.3 97,000 176,000 328,000 214,000

Scenario Base 2030 1. Future plans Surabaya

2. Ring road + Grid

3. Future plans + Ring

CT2030 0.00 0.27 0.93 0.67SC2030 0.00 0.42 0.90 0.65SCSC2030 0.00 0.23 0.86 0.70

Good Sufficient Medium Bad

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Impact assessment• Financial evaluation

• Cost• Revenue

BRT ring road + grid

• Economic evaluation• Traffic accidents• Healthcare• CO2 emissions• Value of time

BRT road + grid

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ConclusionsWhich public transport system for Surabaya makes the entire city

more sustainable, accessible and less congested, while creating most value for money?

•BRT ring road + grid• Best mobility performance• Most value for money

•Future plans Surabaya• Improvement for Surabaya but high investment

•Future plans + BRT ring road only• Only feasible for the optimistic scenarios

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Recommendations• More research is needed about the implementation of the BRT system

• Expansion of study area towards Madura Island to the north and Waru and Juanda Airport to the south

• Public transport can be an effective solution, however policy change and urban planning is needed to create a larger modal shift towards PT

• Include different income groups in the OmniTRANS model

• More detailed road network in the OmniTRANS model

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Terima kasih!

Questions?•info@projectsurabaya.nl